Supporters of the Tyneside club are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's squad as a fickle ally. On their day, they can be the undisputed life of the party, unleashing high-intensity exhibitions. But, at other times, previously reliable players like their midfield linchpin and others simply fail to appear.
Compounding this issue is a second-half approach suffused by a pronounced element of panic. Before their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the numbers reveal a concerning picture: they have dropped thirteen crucial top-flight leverage from winning situations this term and are yet to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive games in every tournament. Earning a win at Old Trafford would constitute only their second-ever league success on the road this season.
In contrast, defeat has only come once in their last 6 league encounters, and despite occupying a modest eleventh position, they are a only six marks behind the coveted top four. Consider an impending two-part League Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a strong chance of advancing to the Champions League last 16, and it is simpler to understand the manager's guarded optimism.
“We don't just have issues,” stated the team's manager. “There are positives too. My glass is decidedly positive currently. I know everybody else may hold a divergent view, but I feel we are getting better.”
The puzzle is: can this collection of players recapture – or perhaps surpass – the heights of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place standing? Juggling a congested fixture list hinders.
This tiredness might be the reason behind the inability to uphold a superb first-half performance versus Chelsea, eventually squandering a two-goal advantage to tie 2-2. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a lackluster performance in a damaging defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the team appeared sluggish just days after a tough European excursion.
While coaching is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the constant schedule of two games a week matches has drastically limited essential practice hours. This slows the squad's stylistic adjustment to playing with new striker Nick Woltemade leading the line, instead of the now departed their former star. Although hugely talented, Woltemade lacks the same searing breakaway pace or intense defensive work rate.
Indeed, the side's signature pressing game has at times failed. Injuries to crucial component Joelinton have been a factor, while expensive signings Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have found it tough adapting after their big-money transfers.
While a change to a 3-5-2 could arguably benefit the team, a full-blown backline absence list renders that unlikely. First-choice defenders will be unavailable for the next key fixtures, challenging the squad's resources.
When playing at their energetic best, they appear virtually unplayable. The issue is sustaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The typical alternative approach of dropping deep into a deep-lying defensive formation has at times proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into disorganized at 2-2,” conceded the manager. “But the intention was going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What appears necessary is a middle ground – with better possession retention, a midfield capable of dictating the tempo, and a sensible willingness to occasionally accept a draw. However, a determination to compete on all fronts is testing thin player numbers to their breaking point.
This might sound unthinkable to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions earlier could have eased the current fixture congestion. Amid critical Champions League and Premier League matches on the horizon, the need to strategically choose focus areas is growing ever more apparent.
The manager recognized the scale of the journey remaining. “When you're involved a club of this size, the pressures are immense. Each game is critical. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the League Cup last four, we want to progress in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have lots of improvement to do to become the consistently successful side we envision. The ability to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The challenge is to reach those heights we are aware we're able to reach. The internal belief is that the self-belief we can do that is returning. Yet now we have to prove it. It's not all bad in this moment, but the next few weeks will determine a great deal.”
Elara Vance is a digital strategist with over a decade of experience in tech consulting, specializing in helping UK businesses navigate digital transformation and IT innovation.